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The Ideal Post-Petroleum Vehicle
Let us place our
order for the ideal vehicle for the post-petroleum (or at least post cheap
petroleum) age. In making these specifications, we are making some assumptions:
- Long distance travel will be much more difficult than it
is now, particularly long distance travel in a personal automobile.
Consequently, the use of a personal automobile will be almost exclusively for
trips of less than 100 miles.
- Petroleum will be
dramatically more expensive than it is today, with gasoline and diesel fuel
selling for something like $8-10 per gallon and sometimes not available at
all.
- The conditions of highways will have deteriorated so that it will not be
safe (or economical) to drive faster than about 50 mph, and we may even have
become smart enough by then to set a 50 mph speed limit.
- Individuals will be more responsible for growing their
own food, performing their own repairs, and constructing their own equipment
and buildings. Consequently, we will have a greater need to carry cargo.
- Most consumers in the post-petroleum age won't use a
personal automobile often, and many of them won't own one at all. Those who
do will be looking for ways to squeeze the most miles they can from every drop
of petroleum they use.
So with these assumptions in mind, we ask, we beg, the automobile companies
(or more likely, someone who's not in the automobile business now) to begin designing the vehicle that really will sell well when gasoline and
diesel fuel cost more than $8 per gallon. It will have these features:
- It will be a small plug-in diesel hybrid pickup truck. It will weigh less
than 3,000 pounds.
- It will have simple parts that are likely to keep
working without expensive maintenance. That is, manual locks, manual crank
windows, and manual adjusting seats. Lose the fancy sound system. An ordinary
AM-FM radio will be just fine. Our bottoms will be smaller by then but still
ample to warm the car seat; no heaters, please.
- It will have an all-electric cruising range of at least
40 miles at 50 mph. The lower operating speed will reduce the need for
aerodynamic styling, so the vehicle can be more boxy to enable easier access
to service its parts.
- It will allow the driver to select “Full electric” mode
for short trips (less than the all-electric cruising range) or “Hybrid” mode
for longer trips.
- All traction will come from the electric motor. That's right; the vehicle
will never use petroleum to propel itself. In all-electric mode, the vehicle
will simply run on battery, and the diesel engine will not run at all. In
hybrid mode, all traction will still come from the electric motor, but an
on-board diesel turbine engine will kick in to keep the battery charged. The
diesel will run at one speed only, which will make it easy to tune and keep it
running clean. There will be no need for a transmission or clutch.
- The vehicle will have a small back seat behind the main
seat.
- It will be equipped with fold-out or roll-out solar
panels so that the user can deploy the panels if the vehicle is going to be
parked for awhile. This will allow a better chance that the battery will stay
fully charged. This would effectively double the all-electric cruising range
for round trips, when the vehicle will be parked for several hours of daylight
during the trip.
- The vehicle would sense when the battery is getting
close to the limit of its safe operating range and alert the driver, who could
decide to (a) continue the trip and risk prematurely aging the battery, (b)
stop driving long enough to deploy the solar panels and recharge the battery,
or (c) change to hybrid mode and use the diesel engine to charge the
battery.
- This vehicle will be designed and built so that, when it has reached the
end of its useful life, the parts can be reused for other vehicles.
Please, on behalf of tomorrow’s consumers, begin designing this vehicle now
so that when the demand arrives for it (and it will) you will be ready to make
lots of money building and selling it.
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